If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
52
Ṁ100Ṁ2.5kDec 31
38%
chance
7
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before April 1, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
38% chance
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
17% chance
Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?
51% chance
If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
38% chance
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
38% chance
Iran directly attacks U.S. in 2026?
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
66% chance