
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
83
Ṁ10kṀ15k2030
38%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second
Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030
Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic’s revenue run rate overtake OpenAI’s in 2026
43% chance
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?
36% chance
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
17% chance
Will Anthropic’s private valuation exceed 50% of OpenAI’s in their next funding rounds?
70% chance
Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
35% chance
What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)
364
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
10% chance