Will a graviton be directly observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100?
7
Ṁ170Ṁ1132100
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if:
Graviton is announced to be observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100
Resolves NO if:
Graviton is not observed in a peer-reviewed paper before 2100
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
29% chance
Will a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
27% chance
When will (inelastic) graviton-* scattering be observed?
2047
Will a unified theory of Quantum Gravity usurp the Standard Model before 2045?
47% chance
Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?
30% chance
Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will a gravitational wave signal be observed from a Thorne-Żytkow object by 2040?
34% chance
Will neutrinoless double beta decay be observed before 2100?
47% chance
Will a Pulsar Timing Array experiment detect gravitational waves from a resolvable point source before the year 2030?
50% chance
Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?
12% chance